Market Outlook June 2025
12 Month outlook for Equity, Debt & Gold Gold: Gold prices are expected to maintain a bullish trend over the next 12 months, driven by geopolitical tensions, central bank demand, recession and inflation expectations. Gold price expected to be in the range of the base case USD3100 –USD4000. Debt: India’s 10-year G-Sec yield is expected to moderate to a range of 6.0–6.5% by June 2026, driven by anticipated Reserve Bank of India (RBI) rate cuts, and fiscal consolidation. However, risks such as inflation, global yield spikes, and domestic GDP challenges could keep yields volatile, potentially capping declines or pushing them toward 6.8% in adverse scenarios. Equity: India’s equity market is expected to deliver modest to moderate returns of 8–12% over the next 12 months, with the Nifty 50 projected to reach 26,000–28,000. The outlook is cautiously optimistic, supported by domestic flows, structural reforms, and expected RBI rate cuts. Correction is not ruled out, temp...